Bexley's population

Overview

  • almost 250,000 residents
  • children and young people (under 25) account for almost a third of the population, whilst older people (aged 65 and over) account for a sixth
  • projections up to 2050 show an aging population; over 65s will make up 22% of the population
  • Bexley will become more diverse. In the 2011 Census, the Black and minority ethnic population accounted for 18%, this is estimated at 22% in 2017 and projected to rise to 27% by 2030

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Total population

Area population

  • Belvedere, Erith and Thamesmead East show the larger populations in 2011 with 12,000 residents each
  • by 2020 Erith and Crayford have over 14,000, closely followed by the other northern wards
  • by 2030 Erith stands out with a much higher population of over 19,000
  • by 2040 and 2050 Erith remains more highly populated than other wards, with around 23,000 residents. Christchurch follows with around 19,000
  • Erith has the largest growth by volume and percentage

Full area projections can be found on the London Datastore website.

Births and deaths

  • there are approximately 3,000 live births each year and around 2,000 deaths each year
  • these have remained reasonably stable over time with a steady increase in births
  • this has led to a natural increase in population

Migration

  • the 2011 Census shows the top three countries of birth for those born outside of the United Kingdom as Nigeria, India and Ireland
  • natural change (births - deaths) accounts for the largest rise in population (over 1,000 people each year)
  • international migration accounts for over 500 people each year
  • Internal (domestic) migration has been volatile in recent years

Projections can be found on the ‘Components of Change’ sheet within-population projections on the London Datastore website.

Households

  • estimated 92,944 households from the 2011 Census
  • over 101,000 households in 2019 - predicted to rise to almost 135,000 households by 2050
  • average household size was 2.495 at the 2011 Census

Full household projections can be found on the London Datastore website.

Ethnicity

  • Bexley is becoming more diverse
  • black and minority ethnic groups will account for an estimated 30% of the population by 2045, up from 18% at the 2011 Census
  • populations of some ethnic groups (Black, Asian and Mixed) are predicted to more than double from the Census to 2050

Full ethnicity projections can be found on the London Datastore website.

Conclusion

The population of Bexley will change significantly over the next few decades. North of the borough will grow significantly and Bexley will become more diverse. Bexley has an ageing population – the population aged over 75 will almost double by 2050. The younger population will also increase, but to a much smaller extent.